Abstracts for the 5th International GAME Conf.
3-5 October 2001
Aichi Trade Center
Nagoya Japan
TERRESTRAL SEASONAL WATER CYCLE AND THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN CHINA
Dr. Tao, Fulu (1), Dr. Masayuki Yokozawa (2), Prof. Yousay Hayashi (3), Prof. Erda Lin (4)
(1) Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Agrometeorology Institute. Beijing 100081, China.
(2) National Institute of Agro-Environmental Sciences, Global Agro-Environmental Research Team, 3-1-1 Kannondai, Tsukuba 305-8604, Japan
(3) National Institute of Agro-Environmental Sciences, Global Agro-Environmental Research Team, 3-1-1 Kannondai, Tsukuba 305-8604, Japan.
(4) Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Agrometeorology Institute. Beijing 100081, China.
TERRESTRAL SEASONAL WATER CYCLE AND THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN CHINA
Fulu Tao1*, Masayuki Yokozawa2, Yousay Hayashi2, Erda Lin1
1. Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Agrometeorology Institute. Beijing 100081, China.
2. National Institute of Agro-Environmental Sciences, Global Agro-Environmental Research Team, 3-1-1 Kannondai, Tsukuba 305-8604, Japan.
*Corresponding author: Present address: National Institute of Agro-Environmental Sciences, Global Agro-Environmental Research Team, 3-1-1 Kannondai, Tsukuba 305-8604, Japan.
E-mail: taofl@niaes.affrc.go.jp
Abstract. Climate change is very likely to have a major impact on the hydrological cycle and consequently on the available water resources, flood and drought potential, and agricultural productivity. In this paper, terrestrial fields of snow-cover, soil moisture, potential evapotransporation, evapotransporation, soil moisture surplus and deficit in China at the baseline condition, and the expected changes under climate change scenarios are presented. The budgets were made at 0.5° by 0.5° resolution with a modified water balance model. The baseline data were interpolated from station data; the climate change scenarios were created by combining the baseline data with the output data of HADCM201GS experiment. The spatial and temporal variations of the terrestrial water balance fields and the impacts of climate change on them are identified and interpreted. Water problems in some regions are expected to mitigate, however in some regions may be exacerbated by climate change in future.
Keyword: terrestrial water cycle, climate change, China
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Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Agrometeorology Institute | |
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Global Agro-Environmental Research Team, 3-1-1 Kannondai, Tsukuba 305-8604, Japan. | |
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